World Bank projects war-hit Lebanon’s economy to contract by 6.4 percent
Conflict with Israel derails Lebanon's economic recovery as inflation and consumer prices rise, the global lender says.
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Bessent's bond gambit aimed at calming markets is instead stirring inflation worries
The so-called breakeven rate hit its highest levels in more than two months.
GBP/USD Signal: Golden Cross, Inverted Head &; Shoulders Forms
GBP/USD turns bullish as a weaker US Dollar, falling Treasury yields, UK inflation data, and strong technical patterns support further upsid…
Panama Canal to reduce shipping as ‘extreme’ El Nino approaches
Panama Canal will cut daily transits from 40 to 32 vessels by September 15, risking slower shipping and higher costs.
Domestic and cyclical inflation in the euro area
The ECB’s inflation target is formulated in terms of headline inflation. However, domestically determined inflation features prominently in…
EUR/USD Signal: Bullish Flag Points to More Gains Ahead of FOMC Minutes
EUR/USD extends its rebound after weak US data as Fed expectations, European inflation, FOMC minutes, and a bullish flag setup support furth…
EUR/USD Signal: Shooting Star Points to a Pullback Ahead of FOMC Minutes
EUR/USD pulls back after reaching a multi-month high as FOMC minutes, European inflation data, Middle East risks, and a shooting star patter…
Why is the Trump administration causing turmoil in the bond markets? | Richard Partington
As yields are dragged higher in the UK, Europe and Japan, the impact for consumers and businesses will be far-reaching‘Starve the beast’? Th…
Jump in energy bills drives UK inflation to highest rate for four months
A 2.9% rise in inflation had been widely expected by economists, with Chancellor John Healey saying the Iran war “continues to impact prices…
Inflation is heating up but don't expect another crisis
Rising living costs could heap pressure on PM Andy Burnham though it depends what happens in the coming months.
Assessing the scope for compensatory fiscal measures in response to the recent energy shock
This box assesses the scope for euro area governments to adopt compensatory fiscal measures against the backdrop of the recent energy shock.…
Macro-at-Risk in the euro area Expert Group on Macro-at-Risk Time-Series Workstream
This paper introduces reduced-form macroeconometric tools, emphasising quantile regression models, to identify key risk drivers for the euro…